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Light & Wonder Leverage Declining, Credit Outlook Stable

Light &Wonder’s (NYSE: LNW) efforts to melt off leveraging are paying dividends with Fitch Ratings latterly affirming the gaming twist manufacturer’s course credit gradation of “BB” with a “stable” outlook.

Helped by the recent reunification with societal cassino developer SciPlay, Light & Wonder’s unloosen cash in flow rate (FCF) margins are outpacing those of corresponding firms and the company’s purchase profile is increasingly conservative — a electropositive at a clip when interest group rates are high.

SciPlay’s recent acquisition inwards October, when LNW bought the remaining 17% equity interest, added a half move around to the leverage,” noted the explore firm. “Despite this, Fitch believes LNW’s credit entry profile remains consistent with ‘BB’, due to robust FCF generation, warm liquidity and stock-still conservative leverage. The rating is offset printing past the company’s heights exposure to the Gaming segment, which tends to aim earnings volatility.”

Light & Wonder’s earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) dropped to 4.3x at the remnant of utmost twelvemonth and is expected to further go down to 3.7x by the cease of 2023, confirming debt-reduction plans are paying off.

Light & Wonder Rapidly Reduced Debt

In 2021, the companion formerly known as Scientific Games sold its lottery and sports betting units inward transactions that raised well-nigh $7 1000000000 inwards cash.

Those transactions dramatically reduced debt, eliciting praise from Wall Street, and also simplified the Light & Wonder investment funds thesis. It did so spell allowing the stiff to unmediated some proceeds to faster-growing segments, including iGaming. While the company’s credit rating is a junk grade, the one-armed bandit political machine maker’s debt metrics are, at the rattling least, in-line with that rating.

“The continued momentum of LNW’s gaming equipment and systems cash flows inwards 2024, linked with horse barn digital immediate payment flows, testament take into account LNW to donjon its Earnings Before Interest Taxes Depreciation and Amortization purchase metrics in 2023 and 2024 consistent with ‘BB,’” added Fitch. “Notably, LNW’s warm expected FCF multiplication and strong liquidity remain consistent with the rating.”

Light & Wonder has the mental ability to repurchase at to the lowest degree another $200 gazillion worth of its possess shares and with large acquisitions unlikely o'er the near-term, the society could urinate progress inward terms of getting purchase shoot down to its desired set out of 2.5x to 3.5x.

Digital Could Boost Light & Wonder Growth

The aforementioned SciPlay dealings was aimed at boosting the acquirer’s footprint inward a higher development industry. Data point it was a shrewd run on Light & Wonder’s part.

“Monthly payer users hold increased to 602,000 as of Sept. 30, 2023 from 577,000 as of Sept. 30, 2022, despite monthly dynamic users decreasing past most 200,000 to 5.7 gazillion over the same stop due to turnover,” concluded Fitch. “This improvement, arising from SciPlay’s focussing on introducing new content, features and live events inwards its games, has resulted in a higher remunerator spiritual rebirth charge per unit by 0.9% to 10.6%.”

Digital gaming is a infinite fraught with rivalry and earnings volatility, but Light & Wonder’s strong FCF propagation tin can mitigate some of those risks.

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